2016-09-04theguardian.com

Amid this political free-for-all, Le Pen is trying to throw off the party's divisive reputation and market herself as a politician above and beyond the fray of the same-old-same-old French elite: a new, unifying, patriotic force who will break the shackles of Europe, end "mass immigration" and give France back to the French. Her slogan is La France apaisée -- a soothed France.

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Le Pen pledges to wrest sovereignty back from Europe, like the "courageous British who, despite dire warnings, chose their destiny".

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Opinion polls suggest Le Pen could win 28-29% in the first round of the presidential election next year. It seems likely that, unless the PS can come up with a stronger candidate than Hollande, who is scraping the bottom of the popularity barrel, Le Pen will be up against a centre-right opposition candidate, most likely Juppé or Sarkozy in the second round.

That Le Pen will be there seems hardly to be in doubt. All of the last 38 opinion polls carried out in France suggest she will be in the second round.



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