"It looks pretty sure that Germany won't play along. And it's hard to see from where I'm sitting how the intricacies are lined up exactly, but seeing as Morgan Stanley has $56 trillion in derivatives outstanding, much of which will of necessity be on European sovereign and bank debt, and knowing that JPMorgan and BofA have even larger derivatives portfolio`s, that 10.47% Morgan Stanley loss on Friday looks like a harbinger of things to come. "

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