Nonfarm payrolls should fall by 377,000 (But they won't)

My guess? The headline non farm payrolls number would be reported as a drop of 337,000 tomorrow if you believe the withholding tax data for the period covered by the survey. That would be a huge miss versus the consensus estimate of a gain of 201,000 according to Hizzoner the Mayor's tout sheet. Rupert Hacker Murdoch's rags are even more bullish, posting an expected gain of 210,000