2015-11-07bloomberg.com

India's prime minister on Thursday unveiled three state-backed plans to try to tap the stockpiles of the precious metal to trim physical demand and reduce imports by providing people with alternative avenues for investment. At an event in New Delhi, Modi announced the formal start of a gold-deposit plan, a sovereign-bond program linked to the metal's price and introduction of locally minted coins, some bearing the face of Mahatma Gandhi.

India vies with China as the world's largest gold consumer, and Modi's administration wants to draw more of the holdings into the financial system to trim purchases from overseas and boost the country's economic resilience. Bullion will be a help to India's growth only when it enters the banking system, and large imports should be discouraged, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said at the event in the capital, which comes a week before nationwide demand peaks.

They are actually right -- the bullion that is simply hoarded cannot do much to actively build the economy; it needs to, at minimum, be "monetized" to make loans (e.g., small business loans). This is the function of savings, in a healthy economy and banking system. There are two big problems though: (1) to do this the "right way", the monetary system itself should be founded upon gold, yet the state is actively hostile to that possibility (to wit, if it backed the rupee with gold, the trade deficit problem would be obviated) , and (2) the problem is not just lack of technical options to deposit and mobilize gold, but lack of trust in institutions. The latter cannot simply be solved with a government push. We aren't claiming there is no way to make a legitimate gold-deposit-and-lending scheme, but it would have to be done very well (transparently, and with many checks and balances) to get families to part with even some of their generational heirlooms (a third problem might be that these heirlooms are themselves special, as unique objects; people don't want to have them basically replaced with generic rights to units of gold).



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