2016-02-10ft.com

Two of the biggest losers, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley, are down 27 per cent and 28 per cent respectively. Citigroup, also down 27 per cent, is now trading at just 6.5 times earnings, not far off its post-crisis trough of 5.9 times, reached during the depths of the European debt crisis five years ago.

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Analysts offer a lot of different reasons for the big sell-off, but on this they agree. "Lift-off" in December was supposed to usher in an era of higher interest rates -- which are always good news for the banks. In previous rate-raising cycles, assets have always re-priced faster than liabilities, earning banks a bigger spread between the yields on their loans and the cost of their funds.

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Worsening credit quality: In itself, a lower oil price will not do much direct damage to the big banks' balance sheets, say analysts. Total energy exposures amount to less than 3 per cent of gross loans at the big banks, which have mostly investment-grade assets, and which have already pumped up reserves. Perhaps more worrying are the second-round effects: if weakness in oil-dependent communities begins to spill into commercial real estate loan books, say, or if consumers find they cannot afford repayments on loans for their new gas-guzzling cars.

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Deutsche Bank: Every sell-off needs a point of focus and in recent days it has been Deutsche Bank. The contortions of the Frankfurt-based lender weighed on the entire banking sector on Monday, as it fought to dispel fears that it could not pay a coupon on a bond. "I think maybe counterparty risk is emerging," says Shannon Stemm, an analyst at Edward Jones in St Louis.



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