2016-12-09washingtonpost.com

``One thing seems certain: With Republicans in charge of the House, the Senate and the executive branch, much of the action will probably move back to Congress after eight years of legislative gridlock. And that holds out potential benefits and dangers as interest groups jockey to insert possibly lucrative items into comprehensive bills on health care, taxes, financial changes and other budget items.

"We're trying to figure out how to manage expectations," said John Feehery, director of government affairs at Quinn Gillespie & Associates, a leading lobbying firm. "But understand that we are not going to have an administration that has a disgust and dislike for the business community."

The supplicants are many. The Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, which includes a dozen major carmakers, sent a memo to the Trump transition team two days after the election, pressing for a rollback in fuel-efficiency standards that President Obama set at the beginning of his term.

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The health-care industry -- encompassing doctors, hospitals, health services and pharmaceuticals, which collectively spend about half a billion dollars a year on lobbying -- is eager to capi­tal­ize on Trump's early vow to abolish Obama's Affordable Care Act and his later pledge to keep parts of it.

"The device tax, the health insurance tax, the Cadillac tax -- certainly all those are on the chopping blocks," said Wood, the lobbyist. Those items -- the tax on medical devices, penalties for not signing up for insurance and a surcharge on especially generous employer plans -- were central to Obama's effort to raise revenue to deliver affordable coverage to millions of uninsured Americans.

The American Hospital Association and the Federation of American Hospitals have a separate overriding issue: stopping the deep cuts in Medicare re­imbursements that were part of the Obama health-care changes and that will begin to take effect next year. Tens of billions of dollars are at stake for doctors and hospitals. Their slogan is to "repeal, restore and replace." Restore means restoring Medicare and Medicaid payments.

Suddenly, the hospitals have reason to hope. The dozens of House bills passed in recent years to end Obamacare kept the Medicare cuts in place so the savings could be used to balance other spending or tax-cut plans. But there was an exception. The one GOP House member who proposed a bill that would have canceled the Medicare cuts was Rep. Tom Price (R-Ga.) -- Trump's choice for secretary of health and human services and the person who will play a key role in how the Trump administration unravels health-care restructuring.

The oil industry also stands to reap benefits, and not just in the most obvious ways. For example, the selection of a new Securities and Exchange Commission chairman more friendly to banks could help oil and gas firms, which have been pressured to include in their SEC disclosures calculations about climate risk and more information about their political contributions.

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The telecommunications industry also is keeping a close eye on developments at the Federal Communications Commission. The Trump transition has announced three people on its FCC landing team, all of whom come from the American Enterprise Institute and all of whom are foes of the agency's net neutrality rules.



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