The Pollster Who Predicted a Trump Win Predicts Wilders Victory in Netherlands

So, a wash? A footnote in the troubled history of polling? Perhaps. Except Kapteyn is taking his methodology global, to the elections in the Netherlands on Wednesday. And his poll there shows the party of Geert Wilders--a right-wing populist who has called for an end to Muslim immigration and the closure of all mosques (familiar!)--with a slightly better chance to claim more seats than other parties in parliament than an average of all national polls says. If Kapteyn's right, even a thin margin of seats could mean victory for the populists and momentum for far-right parties in Europe.