The Unemployment Rate Is Probably Around 13 Percent

``Given the many uncertainties involved, perhaps it's better to say that unemployment has risen by 10 million to 20 million, which means that the unemployment rate is probably between 10 percent and 15 percent. That might sound like an unsatisfyingly unclear conclusion, but it's a product of how poorly our official statistics track labor market changes from day to day, and how rapidly the economy is shutting down.''